Diagnostic Offer · 01

The line item your income statement is missing.

Every planning override your team made last year, broken into value-created and value-destroyed, formatted as a financial statement. Ten business days. Sixty minutes of your team's time.

$35,000 fixed fee 10 business days $20K credit toward next stage
Why this exists

Most CFOs can name their cost of goods. Few can name their cost of override.

40-70% of forecasts adjusted by planners each cycle
~50% of those adjustments reduce accuracy
$0 invested in measuring the dollar impact

Your planning team makes thousands of manual adjustments to the demand forecast every year. Some protect service levels and avoid waste. Others drive excess inventory, trigger expedites, and trap working capital on the balance sheet. No system in your organization distinguishes between the two.

The Override P&L makes that invisible cost visible. Value-positive interventions. Value-negative interventions. Net impact, formatted as a financial statement your board can read without modification.

Where it lands

Every line in your override log touches the balance sheet. None of it shows up on the P&L.

Inventory is a capital allocation decision disguised as a planning output.
Cash
Override-driven excess ties up working capital. Safety stock builds because nobody can prove which buffers are justified and which are waste.
Margin
Expedites, premium freight, and write-offs hit COGS. These get coded as operational variance. The override that caused them is never linked back.
Revenue
Conservative override bias suppresses demand signals the system captured correctly. Lost sales follow. The cause is invisible in standard reporting.
Control
Override rationale disappears every cycle. No decision lineage. No audit trail. Governance lives on paper while the decision level runs unaudited.
Size the problem

Three numbers from your own balance sheet.

You can size this problem without us. The math uses three inputs from your most recent quarter-end.

Trapped Capital = Inventory Value × Excess %
The cash sitting in inventory that does not need to be there. Annual carrying cost (warehousing, insurance, obsolescence, cost of capital) typically runs 20-30% of that number.

Total Inventory. Balance sheet value, most recent quarter-end. For a $500M-revenue manufacturer, typically $75M to $150M.

Excess Percentage. 10-30% of inventory in make-to-stock environments is typically excess. Safety stock that has not been recalibrated. Conservative overrides that compounded. Demand signals that got overridden out of the forecast.

Company profile Inventory Trapped capital (15%) Annual carrying cost (25%)
$300M manufacturer $60M $9M $2.25M / yr
$500M distributor $110M $16.5M $4.1M / yr
$1B CPG company $200M $30M $7.5M / yr

Conservative estimates using the midpoint of each range. Trapped capital is the balance sheet exposure. Carrying cost is the annual P&L bleed. Neither figure includes expedites, write-offs, or lost revenue from override-driven misallocation.

Capital is trapped. The only open questions are how much, and where in your portfolio.
What you get

Three artifacts and a 30-minute readout. The analysis is valuable whether or not you ever deploy Daybreak.

Deliverable 01

Override P&L Statement

Net override value. Value-positive interventions. Value-negative interventions. One bottom line. Built from your override logs and your cost structure. Your numbers drive every translation. Board-ready without modification.

Format: financial statement, PDF plus editable workbook.

Deliverable 02

Decision Pattern Analysis

Which override categories consistently add value. Which destroy it. Sliced by SKU class, planner, and decision horizon. Surfaces the pattern producing most of the cost.

Format: analytical report plus exported data tables.

Deliverable 03

CFO Action Brief

Three immediate actions implementable this quarter: which override categories to auto-accept, which to supervise with measurement, and how much planner capacity is freed by stopping the value-destructive interventions.

Format: one-page memo plus supporting appendix.

How it works

Ten business days. Sixty minutes of your team's time.

A repeatable methodology, supported by standardized extraction templates for the top five planning systems and a validated financial impact model. Your team provides data access. We do the analysis.

Day 1-2

Data extraction

We pull override logs and outcome data from your planning system. SAP IBP, Kinaxis, o9, Blue Yonder, or Oracle. Repeatable extraction templates that run against each.

Day 3-6

Financial translation

Every override gets scored against the outcome it changed, then translated into inventory, expedite, and service-cost dollars using your cost structure. No generic multipliers.

Day 7-9

Pattern analysis

We identify which override categories add value, which destroy it, and where the cost concentrates across SKU classes, planners, and decision horizons.

Day 10

Executive readout

A 30-minute CFO-level conversation. The deliverables, a Q&A, and three actions implementable this quarter. No follow-up sale required for the work to be worth doing.

Pricing & terms

$35,000 fixed fee. $20,000 credits toward your next step.

Below the CFO discretionary threshold. High enough that the engagement gets taken seriously. Profitable for Daybreak standalone, which means we do not need you to convert for the work to be worth doing.

$35,000 Fixed fee. No retainer. No success fee.
10 business days from complete data access to executive readout.
$20,000 credit toward the Capital Allocation Audit or the Working Capital Release Proof-of-Value, applied if the next stage is signed within 45 days of readout.
Net effective cost on conversion: $15,000 for the Override P&L insight.
Sixty minutes of your team's time for data orientation and the readout itself.
The guarantee
Override Clarity Guarantee

If Daybreak cannot produce the Override P&L statement within 10 business days of complete data access, the engagement fee is refunded in full. This is a deliverable guarantee. We commit to completing the analysis on schedule. The findings themselves depend on your data.

What this looks like

For one manufacturer, planning judgment netted $2.3M of value destruction last year.

Override P&L Statement · 12 months · anonymized
Total override events 14,280
Override rate (share of baseline decisions adjusted) 58%
Value-positive overrides (inventory avoided, service protected) +$3.8M
Value-negative overrides (excess inventory, expedites triggered) -$6.1M
Net override value -$2.3M
Categories recommended for AI-managed baseline 4 of 11
Planner capacity freed by shifting low-value overrides ~30%
Estimated annual working capital released $4.7M

Anonymized illustration drawn from a scoped engagement. Not the deliverable for any specific prospect. Your Override P&L is built using your override logs and your cost structure. Actual numbers depend entirely on your data.

What this unlocks

Three actions you can take once you have the number.

The Override P&L produces a quantified problem. Three steps follow from it. The first runs without us. The second and third are where Daybreak shows up if you want the system to do this continuously.

30-60 days
Score every override against outcomes. Each adjustment measured. Value-positive reinforced, value-negative flagged. Decision-level audit trail in place for the next planning cycle.
Next quarter
Shift low-value overrides to an AI-managed baseline. Categories where overrides consistently destroy value move to AI. Frees roughly 30% of planner capacity. Planners cover the categories where their judgment measurably adds value.
Every quarter
Set a Working Capital Release target. Override P&L as baseline. Board-reportable tracking tied to balance sheet outcomes. The cost of override stops being invisible.

Ready to see what your overrides actually cost?

Ten business days. Sixty minutes of your team's time. The line item your income statement has been missing, formatted as a financial statement and ready for your board.

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