Key person risk in demand planning is real, material, and unquantified. We put a dollar number on the institutional judgment your most experienced planners carry, and the financial exposure if they walk. Twelve business days. Built for your risk register.
Two or three people in most planning organizations carry the institutional judgment that holds the forecast together. They know which categories run hot in Q3, which buyers ship late, and which signals to trust against the model. None of that lives in the system. It lives in their head, and it walks out the door with every notice they give.
The Judgment Continuity Audit puts a dollar number on that exposure. Concentration mapped. Financial impact translated. A risk that finally fits on the same register where you track every other operational and financial exposure.
Most planning teams cluster heavily at the top. A handful of senior planners cover the highest-value categories and absorb the most complex demand signals. The exposure scales with concentration, tenure, and category criticality.
Anonymized illustrative profile. Bars represent share of decision value concentrated in each tier. Exposure figures translate accuracy degradation into inventory, expedite, and service cost using a representative cost structure. Your audit uses your data.
A one-to-two page visual showing how planning judgment concentrates across your team. Tenure mapped against category coverage. Override volume mapped against category criticality. Identifies the planners whose departure would carry the most financial exposure.
Format: visual map, PDF plus editable workbook.
A spreadsheet-backed one-page model that translates concentration risk into dollars. Accuracy degradation modeled against your cost structure: inventory build, expedite cost, write-off exposure, service cost. Annualized carrying cost of unprotected planning judgment, defensible under CFO review.
Format: one-page summary plus the underlying spreadsheet model.
A one-page recommendation with three tiers of action. Tier 1 runs without Daybreak. Tier 2 and Tier 3 are where we show up if you want the system to do this continuously. Trust before the upsell.
Format: one-page memo plus supporting appendix.
The most analytically dense of our three diagnostics. We isolate planner-specific judgment patterns, measure the financial value of that judgment, and translate concentration into dollar exposure. Your team provides data access. We do the analysis.
We pull planner-level forecast history, override logs, and outcome data from your planning system. SAP IBP, Kinaxis, o9, Blue Yonder, or Oracle. We also capture tenure, category coverage, and any transition events in the historical record.
Accuracy by planner over time. Pattern fingerprints by planner. Performance during transition periods, coverage shifts, and vacation windows. The signal we are after: which judgment is replicable, and which is concentrated in two or three heads.
Accuracy deltas translated into inventory, expedite, and service-cost dollars using your cost structure. Concentration mapped to annualized carrying cost. No generic multipliers. No industry averages dressed up as your numbers.
A 30-minute CFO-level conversation. The map, the model, the tiered recommendation, a Q&A. Tier 1 is yours whether or not we ever speak again.
Below the CFO discretionary threshold. High enough to qualify intent. Profitable for Daybreak as a standalone diagnostic. We do not need you to convert for the work to be worth doing.
If Daybreak cannot deliver the Judgment Concentration Map and Financial Exposure Model within 12 business days of complete data access, the engagement extends at no additional cost until delivery is complete. This is a timeline guarantee. The risk gets quantified. Whether the number is large or small depends on your actual concentration.
Twelve planners. Two with 15+ years of tenure covering the A-category SKUs that drove 64% of revenue. One of them gave notice in February. The CFO commissioned the audit two weeks later.
Anonymized illustration drawn from a scoped engagement. Not the deliverable for any specific prospect. Your Judgment Continuity Audit is built using your planner-level history and your cost structure. Actual figures depend entirely on your data.
The recommendation is deliberately tiered. Tier 1 is yours to implement immediately, independent of Daybreak. Tier 2 and Tier 3 are where the system does this continuously, with persistence, on the categories where judgment compounds.
Twelve business days. Ninety minutes of your team's time. A risk that finally fits on the register where you track every other operational and financial exposure, with a recommendation built for the CFO who already manages it.